FPL Gameweek 22 Differentials

We can examine some additional differential choices as Double Gameweek 22 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) approaches.


Lisandro Martinez (£4.5m, Man United) vs. Crystal Palace (H), Leeds United (H)

Lisandro Martinez is a wise selection if you haven’t already doubled up on Manchester United and are looking for a Cancelo or Doherty substitute.

Only Newcastle has managed more since United’s 6-3 loss to rival Manchester City in Gameweek 9 with six clean sheets. United ranks among the top four clubs during that time for giving up the fewest big chances.

In addition, Leeds’ recent offensive output has been lacking, while Palace has been toothless on the road this year, creating the fewest quality scoring opportunities of any league team.

It’s also important to note that Manchester United has a good chance of recording at least one clean sheet throughout this Gameweek.


Leon Bailey (£4.5m, Aston Villa) vs. Leicester City

Leon Bailey (£4.5 million) has become one of Aston Villa’s primary offensive threats under Unai Emery.

Since the Premier League reopened, the 25-year-old has started all five games and taken 14 shots, more than any other Villa player. Only Marcus Rashford (£7.2m), Gabriel Martinelli (£6.7m), and Martin Odegaard (£6.9m) have tried more shots among all FPL midfielders.

His -0.96 xG delta indicates that he has only managed to score one goal during that period while also passing up numerous excellent chances.

Bailey feels like a great enabler for the second half of the season if you consider his £4.5 million price tag and the fact that Danny Ings (£6.4 million) has been sold.

Luis Sinisterra (£6.5m, Leeds United) vs. Nottingham Forest (A), Man United (A)

Due to his availability in the wide areas and his return in their FA Cup victory over Accrington, Luis Sinisterra, injured for Leeds, could be ready to start in Gameweek 22.

The 23-year-old replaced Raphinha in the summer and cost £21 million. Despite making only 10 league appearances (six starts), he has a 0.37 goals/95 average and a 0.19 xG/95 average.

He should keep his first-team status with a squad that can have a good second half of the season, and with some playing time, he can contribute offensively.


Eddie Nketiah (£6.7m, Arsenal) vs. Everton (A)

Due to Gabriel Jesus’s effect on Arsenal’s offense, many believed their chances of winning the title had been badly damaged when he sustained a long-term injury at the World Cup. Then Eddie Nketiah (£6.7m) appeared.

Only Erling Haaland (£12.2m) has accrued more xG than Nketiah’s 4.21 since the restart. In Gameweek 22, there is no reason to leave him out after his two goals against Manchester United in Gameweek 21. He will be the center of attention.

Keep an eye on Jesus’ recovery from his injury; Nketiah will, at the absolute least, be playing alongside the Brazilian once he returns. He is a good medium-term keep because he is only £6.7m and provides excellent value. 


Wilfried Gnonto (£5.0m, Leeds United) vs. Nottingham Forest (A), Man United (A)

Since he has been Leeds’ finest attacking player lately, Gnonto has proven himself worthy of a long-term spot in the starting lineup.

He ranks second among Leeds players in non-penalty Expected Goals (xG) since the restart, only behind Rodrigo (£6.4m).

He has a double game week this week and then plays Southampton in Blank Gameweek 25, so he’s a respectable facilitator.

The Nottingham Forest game, in particular, should be targeted because they are 19th for the goal conceded this season and are among the lowest five teams in terms of xG conceded.

Additionally, there is a probability that Leeds will have a match on Gameweek 28 when other teams have a free week.

Inline Feedbacks
View all comments